Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)

Q: Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 100%. A YES share costs 99.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 0.1% over 6d.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$287 liquidity$84 volumecloses 6d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 80%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

YES wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.50.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 0.9¢
Implied chance: 0.9%
Return if right: 11011.1%
Spread cost: 45%

If you put in $100

You get 11111.1 shares at 0.9¢ each.

NO wins: $11111.11 back, a profit of $11011.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8888.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $19900.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 9, 08:00 PM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for August 9 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores