New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

Q: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

Prediction markets currently price this at 74%. A YES share costs 74.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 35.1% over 2d.

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians$157k liquidity$546k volumecloses 2d

SportsGamesMLBbaseball

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 74.0¢
Implied chance: 74.0%
Return if right: 35.1%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 135.1 shares at 74.0¢ each.

YES wins: $135.14 back, a profit of $35.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.92 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.05.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 27.0¢
Implied chance: 27.0%
Return if right: 270.4%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 370.4 shares at 27.0¢ each.

NO wins: $370.37 back, a profit of $270.37. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $277.36.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

No price history for this window.

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Mets moneyline bet makes sense as Foster Griffin faces first start with Cleveland GuardiansFox News · 4d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 5 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/