Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

Q: Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 29%. A YES share costs 29.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 244.8% over 20h.

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres$16k liquidity$0 volumecloses 20h

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 29.0¢
Implied chance: 29.0%
Return if right: 244.8%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 344.8 shares at 29.0¢ each.

YES wins: $344.83 back, a profit of $244.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $32.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $277.36.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 76.0¢
Implied chance: 76.0%
Return if right: 31.6%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 131.6 shares at 76.0¢ each.

NO wins: $131.58 back, a profit of $31.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.05.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 22, 04:55 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 22 at 8:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres combine to score 7 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores