Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

Q: Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

Prediction markets currently price this at 36%. A YES share costs 36.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 177.8% over 6d.

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs$312k liquidity$29k volumecloses 6d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 36.0¢
Implied chance: 36.0%
Return if right: 177.8%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 277.8 shares at 36.0¢ each.

YES wins: $277.78 back, a profit of $177.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 65.0¢
Implied chance: 65.0%
Return if right: 53.8%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.

NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 23, 04:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for September 22 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/