Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves

Q: Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves

Prediction markets currently price this at 21%. A YES share costs 21.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 376.2% over 2d.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves$41k liquidity$32k volumecloses 2d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 21.0¢
Implied chance: 21.0%
Return if right: 376.2%
Spread cost: 23%

If you put in $100

You get 476.2 shares at 21.0¢ each.

YES wins: $476.19 back, a profit of $376.19. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $112.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $488.24.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 87.0¢
Implied chance: 87.0%
Return if right: 14.9%
Spread cost: 27%

If you put in $100

You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.

NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $20.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 6, 12:00 AM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Chris Sale and Gerrit Cole set up a pitching duel as Atlanta Braves host the New York YankeesFox News · 2d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marli…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 5 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Miami Marlins or Atlanta Braves. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores