Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres

Q: Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres

Prediction markets currently price this at 94%. A YES share costs 94.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 6.4% over 4d.

Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres$205k liquidity$203k volumecloses 4d

SportsGamesMLBbaseball

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 94.0¢
Implied chance: 94.0%
Return if right: 6.4%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.

YES wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.95.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 7.0¢
Implied chance: 7.0%
Return if right: 1328.6%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 1428.6 shares at 7.0¢ each.

NO wins: $1428.57 back, a profit of $1328.57. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $109.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $1438.46.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 8, 03:00 AM2 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Milwaukee Brewers face San Diego Padres as Logan Henderson looks to extend dominant road stretchFox News · 3h ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 7 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/