Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Q: Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Prediction markets currently price this at 91%. A YES share costs 91.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 9.9% over 1.0mo.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$849 liquidity$968 volumecloses 1.0mo

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 91.0¢
Implied chance: 91.0%
Return if right: 9.9%
Spread cost: 82%

If you put in $100

You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.

YES wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $45.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 62.0¢
Implied chance: 62.0%
Return if right: 61.3%
Spread cost: 66%

If you put in $100

You get 161.3 shares at 62.0¢ each.

NO wins: $161.29 back, a profit of $61.29. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $120.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 09:16 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 14 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Detroit Tigers or Cleveland Guardians. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores