Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

Q: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 91%. A YES share costs 91.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 9.9% over 6d.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 6d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 91.0¢
Implied chance: 91.0%
Return if right: 9.9%
Spread cost: 70%

If you put in $100

You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.

YES wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $22.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $32.45.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 40.0¢
Implied chance: 40.0%
Return if right: 150.0%
Spread cost: 51%

If you put in $100

You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.

NO wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $158.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $308.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 9, 12:00 PM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 9 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cincinnati Reds and Washington Nationals combine to score 3 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores