Will the game go to extra innings?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins

Q: Will the game go to extra innings?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins

Prediction markets currently price this at 13%. A YES share costs 13.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 669.2% over 6h.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins$38k liquidity$98 volumecloses 6h

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 13.0¢
Implied chance: 13.0%
Return if right: 669.2%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 769.2 shares at 13.0¢ each.

YES wins: $769.23 back, a profit of $669.23. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $100.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $769.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 90.0¢
Implied chance: 90.0%
Return if right: 11.1%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.

NO wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.88 of that profit. Without it you would make $12.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 05:35 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the game go to extra innings?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Mi…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 10 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game goes to extra innings. This market will resolve to "No" if the game is completed without going to extra innings. For the purposes of this market, a game goes to extra innings if play begins in any inning after the scheduled regulation innings for that game, such as the 10th inning in a standard 9-inning MLB game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game ends in a tie before extra innings are played, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores