MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?

MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?$8k liquidity$30k volumecloses 1.6mo
Aaron JudgebaseballMLBSportsWalksJuan Soto
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
3.9¢
Implied chance
3.9%
Return if right
2464.1%
Spread cost
25%

If you put in $100

You get 2564.1 shares at 3.9¢ each.

YES wins: $2564.10 back, a profit of $2464.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $825.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $3289.83.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
98.0¢
Implied chance
98.0%
Return if right
2.0%
Spread cost
33%

If you put in $100

You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.

NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.04.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%3%May 23Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 07:12 PM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? (4% chance) | PullToPar