Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 15.0¢
- Implied chance
- 15.0%
- Return if right
- 566.7%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 666.7 shares at 15.0¢ each.
YES wins: $666.67 back, a profit of $566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $47.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $614.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 87.0¢
- Implied chance
- 87.0%
- Return if right
- 14.9%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.
NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $16.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear says he's 'heard absolutely nothing back from Mitch McConnell'The Hill · 2d ago
- Sen. Mitch McConnell says he's out of rehab and recovering at homeNBC News · 12d ago
- Mitch McConnell announces discharge from rehabilitation centerThe Guardian · 12d ago
- Mitch McConnell Discharged From Rehabilitation FacilityThe New York Times · 12d ago
- Sen. Mitch McConnell says he's been discharged from rehabCBS News · 12d ago
- Sen. Mitch McConnell announces he has been discharged from rehab facilityABC News · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.