Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.9¢
- Implied chance
- 0.9%
- Return if right
- 11011.1%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 11111.1 shares at 0.9¢ each.
YES wins: $11111.11 back, a profit of $11011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8888.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $19900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 80%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sen. Mitch McConnell says he's out of rehab and recovering at homeNBC News · 4d ago
- Mitch McConnell announces discharge from rehabilitation centerThe Guardian · 4d ago
- Mitch McConnell Discharged From Rehabilitation FacilityThe New York Times · 4d ago
- Sen. Mitch McConnell says he's been discharged from rehabCBS News · 4d ago
- Sen. Mitch McConnell announces he has been discharged from rehab facilityABC News · 4d ago
- Sen. Mitch McConnell discharged from rehab center following hospitalization in mid-JuneNBC News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.