Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of August?

Q: Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of August?

Prediction markets currently price this at 42%. A YES share costs 42.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 138.1% over 12d.

Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of August?$2k liquidity$60 volumecloses 12d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 42.0¢
Implied chance: 42.0%
Return if right: 138.1%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 238.1 shares at 42.0¢ each.

YES wins: $238.10 back, a profit of $138.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $153.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 63.0¢
Implied chance: 63.0%
Return if right: 58.7%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.

NO wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $65.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 19, 04:01 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.

Source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD