Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 21.0¢
- Implied chance
- 21.0%
- Return if right
- 376.2%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 476.2 shares at 21.0¢ each.
YES wins: $476.19 back, a profit of $376.19. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $36.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $412.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 82.0¢
- Implied chance
- 82.0%
- Return if right
- 22.0%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.
NO wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $24.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ohio TV stations ignore legal threat from Max Miller, air opponent's ad: ReportThe Hill · 12d ago
- House Republicans back Max Miller reelection, but keep their distanceThe Hill · 25d ago
- Top House Republican backs Max Miller: 'I support anybody with an R by their name'The Hill · 28d ago
- House GOP conference chair says Max Miller is "our nominee right now" despite abuse allegationsCBS News · 29d ago
- Johnson says he supports Max Miller's reelection bid: 'Great member of Congress'The Hill · 1mo ago
- Mike Johnson said he supports ‘great member’ Max Miller’s reelection bidThe Washington Post · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller's departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.