Will Matthew Stafford have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Q: Will Matthew Stafford have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Prediction markets currently price this at 51%. A YES share costs 51.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 96.1% over 4.6mo.

Pro Football: Matthew Stafford 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 4.6mo

NFLSportsfootballSeason statsMatthew Stafford

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 51.0¢
Implied chance: 51.0%
Return if right: 96.1%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.

YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $106.19.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 54.0¢
Implied chance: 54.0%
Return if right: 85.2%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.

NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $94.17.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 25, 12:02 PM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Matthew Stafford's wife celebrates her birthday, as one does, by flipping off the camera & shaking her buttFox News · 22d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Matthew Stafford have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Matthew Stafford records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Matthew Stafford does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Matthew Stafford recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.