Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 33.0¢
- Implied chance
- 33.0%
- Return if right
- 203.0%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.
YES wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $19.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $222.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 71.0¢
- Implied chance
- 71.0%
- Return if right
- 40.8%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.
NO wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $44.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- US Coast Guard finds debris of missing air ambulance off coast of MassachusettsThe Guardian · 2d ago
- Medical transport airplane missing off Massachusetts, Coast Guard saysABC News · 2d ago
- Man who allegedly harassed Katie Miller indicted for cyberstalking in MassachusettsCBS News · 3d ago
- Catholic clergy sexually abused nearly 1,000 Massachusetts children over decades, report findsThe Guardian · 4d ago
- Cam Schlittler and Ben Rice, Yankees’ own Massachusetts natives, crush Red Sox in Game 1 blowoutFox News · 5d ago
- Nor’easter unearths pieces of 19th-century shipwreck in MassachusettsThe Guardian · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Massachusetts Question 3, also referred to as the Top-Two Primary Elections Initiative, is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate partisan primaries and create a top-two advance election system in Massachusetts. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Massachusetts statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. A qualifying approval must clear any relevant numerical and turnout thresholds imposed by the relevant governing authority. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Massachusetts, including the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/).