Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?$16k liquidity$224k volumecloses 4.7mo
PoliticsGeopoliticsWorldMiddle EastIran
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
17.0¢
Implied chance
17.0%
Return if right
488.2%
Spread cost
10%

If you put in $100

You get 588.2 shares at 17.0¢ each.

YES wins: $588.24 back, a profit of $488.24. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $56.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $545.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
86.0¢
Implied chance
86.0%
Return if right
16.3%
Spread cost
11%

If you put in $100

You get 116.3 shares at 86.0¢ each.

NO wins: $116.28 back, a profit of $16.28. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.06 of that profit. Without it you would make $18.34.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%15%Aug 11Aug 11

Latest: Aug 11, 10:10 AM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.