Mamdani visits the White House by October 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 12.0¢
- Implied chance
- 12.0%
- Return if right
- 733.3%
- Spread cost
- 27%
If you put in $100
You get 833.3 shares at 12.0¢ each.
YES wins: $833.33 back, a profit of $733.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $277.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $1011.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.0¢
- Implied chance
- 94.0%
- Return if right
- 6.4%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.
NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.89.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Mamdani, Irish PM play bingo, ‘split the G’ in New YorkAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Mamdani says it was 'strange' getting called out by Netanyahu after calling for his arrestFox News · 2d ago
- Mamdani pledges millions to combat antisemitism while leaving key question unresolvedFox News · 3d ago
- Mamdani Names NYC Districts for Affordable Housing Fast-TrackBloomberg · 3d ago
- Variety’s New York Legends Power List: Mamdani, Matt Damon, the Knicks and the People Who Rule NYCVariety · 4d ago
- Doc Society Announces Fund for Films ‘In Service of Better Futures,’ Zohran Mamdani Project Among First Supported Features (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Mamdani visits the White House by October 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani physically visits the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any reason by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.