Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 10?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 11:50 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- UK’s FCA to regulate tokenized gold to preserve London’s place as the top hub for bullionCoinDesk · 16h ago
- London police seize record $10 million in supercars in one weekendCBS News · 16h ago
- Beatles Films Producer Pippa Harris, ‘The Zone of Interest’s James Wilson to Headline London Film Festival Industry ForumThe Hollywood Reporter · 17h ago
- Pippa Harris and James Wilson to Headline London Film Festival Industry ForumVariety · 17h ago
- How ‘Ted Lasso’ turned an affluent London neighborhood into a tourist hotspotMarketWatch · 18h ago
- London Needs Capital to Revive its Struggling Public Markets, LSE’s Deputy CEO SaysYahoo Finance · 19h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 10?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
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