Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 10?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?$60k liquidity$13k volume
WeatherRecurringHide From NewDaily TemperatureHong KongLowest temperature
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This market has closed. 30°C won.

Before it closed the market gave that outcome 97.0%.

There is nothing left to trade here. The prices Polymarket still shows are the settlement, not an opinion about what might happen.

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%100%0%Aug 10Aug 11

Latest: Aug 11, 02:50 AM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Other outcomes in Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?

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