Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Q: Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Prediction markets currently price this at 93%. A YES share costs 93.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 7.5% over 7h.

LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B$10 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7h

Esportsleague of legendsGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 93.0¢
Implied chance: 93.0%
Return if right: 7.5%
Spread cost: 93%

If you put in $100

You get 107.5 shares at 93.0¢ each.

YES wins: $107.53 back, a profit of $7.53. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $103.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $110.53.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.0¢
Implied chance: 98.0%
Return if right: 2.0%
Spread cost: 98%

If you put in $100

You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.

NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $88.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $90.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 03:08 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both VfB eSports and Team Orange Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://gol.gg/esports/home