LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 4 Winner

Q: LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 4 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 62%. A YES share costs 62.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 61.3% over 6h.

LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffs$102 liquidity$344 volumecloses 3h

Esportsleague of legendsGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 62.0¢
Implied chance: 62.0%
Return if right: 61.3%
Spread cost: 25%

If you put in $100

You get 161.3 shares at 62.0¢ each.

YES wins: $161.29 back, a profit of $61.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $81.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 52.0¢
Implied chance: 52.0%
Return if right: 92.3%
Spread cost: 24%

If you put in $100

You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.

NO wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $29.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $122.22.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 19, 06:09 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 4 Win…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between UCAM Esports Club and Team Heretics Academy in the LES Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win Game 4 against Team Heretics Academy. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win Game 4 against UCAM Esports Club. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://gol.gg/esports/home