LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Q: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 22%. A YES share costs 22.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 354.5% over 7h.

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$45k liquidity$1k volumecloses 7h

Esportsleague of legendsGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 22.0¢
Implied chance: 22.0%
Return if right: 354.5%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.

YES wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 79.0¢
Implied chance: 79.0%
Return if right: 26.6%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.

NO wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 07:41 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://gol.gg/esports/home