LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner

Q: LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 22%. A YES share costs 22.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 354.5% over 7h.

LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins$152k liquidity$32k volumecloses 7h

Esportsleague of legendsGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 22.0¢
Implied chance: 22.0%
Return if right: 354.5%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.

YES wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $33.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $387.80.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 81.0¢
Implied chance: 81.0%
Return if right: 23.5%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.

NO wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.79.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 12:22 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the LoL Mid bracket round 2 match between Shark Attack and SU Esports in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shark Attack" if Shark Attack win Game 1 against SU Esports. This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win Game 1 against Shark Attack. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://gol.gg/esports/home