LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Q: LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Prediction markets currently price this at 26%. A YES share costs 26.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 284.6% over 2d.

LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$94k liquidity$41k volumecloses 2d

Esportsleague of legendsGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 26.0¢
Implied chance: 26.0%
Return if right: 284.6%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 384.6 shares at 26.0¢ each.

YES wins: $384.62 back, a profit of $284.62. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $292.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 75.0¢
Implied chance: 75.0%
Return if right: 33.3%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 133.3 shares at 75.0¢ each.

NO wins: $133.33 back, a profit of $33.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $34.23.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 22, 02:28 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seas…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the LoL match between paiN Gaming and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win the match against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against paiN Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://gol.gg/esports/home