LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner

Q: LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 91%. A YES share costs 91.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 9.9% over 8h.

LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season$16k liquidity$2k volumecloses 8h

Esportsleague of legendsGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 91.0¢
Implied chance: 91.0%
Return if right: 9.9%
Spread cost: 16%

If you put in $100

You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.

YES wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.73.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 12.0¢
Implied chance: 12.0%
Return if right: 733.3%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 833.3 shares at 12.0¢ each.

NO wins: $833.33 back, a profit of $733.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $119.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $852.38.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 10:20 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the LoL match between NightBirds and eSuba in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win Game 1 against eSuba. This market will resolve to "eSuba" if eSuba win Game 1 against NightBirds. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://gol.gg/esports/home