LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winner

Q: LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 78%. A YES share costs 78.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 28.2% over 8h.

LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season$5k liquidity$274 volumecloses 8h

Esportsleague of legendsGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 78.0¢
Implied chance: 78.0%
Return if right: 28.2%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 128.2 shares at 78.0¢ each.

YES wins: $128.21 back, a profit of $28.21. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $29.03.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 23.0¢
Implied chance: 23.0%
Return if right: 334.8%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 434.8 shares at 23.0¢ each.

NO wins: $434.78 back, a profit of $334.78. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $344.44.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 10:23 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the LoL match between NightBirds and CITA Kaizen in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win Game 2 against CITA Kaizen. This market will resolve to "CITA Kaizen" if CITA Kaizen win Game 2 against NightBirds. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://gol.gg/esports/home