Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 25.0¢
- Implied chance
- 25.0%
- Return if right
- 300.0%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 400.0 shares at 25.0¢ each.
YES wins: $400.00 back, a profit of $300.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $316.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 77.0¢
- Implied chance
- 77.0%
- Return if right
- 29.9%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.
NO wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $31.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Day 20 of Lindsay Clancy trial ends with more testimony expectedCBS News · 36m ago
- Where will Lindsay Clancy end up after her murder trial? Legal experts explain.CBS News · 3h ago
- Legal breakdown of testimony about religion in Lindsay Clancy trialCBS News · 4h ago
- Expert explains why Lindsay Clancy's religious beliefs have no legal weightCBS News · 4h ago
- Forensic psychologist testifies Lindsay Clancy is 'criminally responsible' for children's deathsNBC News · 5h ago
- Lindsay Clancy's prosecutors question final witnesses about her mental healthCBS News · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one murder charge in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty for all murder charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for murder. If all murder charges against Clancy are dropped, or otherwise changed such that they are no longer considered murder, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.