Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.9¢
- Implied chance
- 7.9%
- Return if right
- 1165.8%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 1265.8 shares at 7.9¢ each.
YES wins: $1265.82 back, a profit of $1165.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $41.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $1207.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.6¢
- Implied chance
- 92.6%
- Return if right
- 8.0%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 108.0 shares at 92.6¢ each.
NO wins: $107.99 back, a profit of $7.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Lindsay Clancy's lawyers push for case dismissal, ask for probe into holdout jurorCBS News · 2d ago
- Lindsay Clancy's lawyer asks judge to investigate juror and check his phoneBBC News · 2d ago
- Lindsay Clancy holdout juror's lawyer torches 'Looney Tunes motion' to investigate himFox News · 2d ago
- Lindsay Clancy's attorney wants the holdout juror investigated. Why?CBS News · 2d ago
- Lindsay Clancy's attorney asks judge to question holdout juror, review his phone recordsCBS News · 2d ago
- Lindsay Clancy's attorney requests investigation into holdout jurorCBS News · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one count of manslaughter in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A conviction for manslaughter will qualify whether it results from a manslaughter charge or from a finding of manslaughter as a lesser included offense of a murder charge. A conviction for murder, without any accompanying conviction for manslaughter, will not qualify. If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty on all charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for manslaughter. If all charges against Clancy are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.