Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.0¢
- Implied chance
- 8.0%
- Return if right
- 1150.0%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $57.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $1207.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.7¢
- Implied chance
- 92.7%
- Return if right
- 7.9%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 107.9 shares at 92.7¢ each.
NO wins: $107.87 back, a profit of $7.87. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Zelenskyy says Ukraine sent two North Korean POWs to South KoreaAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Ukraine Sent Two North Korean P.O.W.s to South Korea, Zelensky SaysThe New York Times · 2d ago
- South Korea Keeps Fuel Cheap for Holidays as Fiscal Cost MountsBloomberg · 3d ago
- South Korea’s leader is seeking a new approach to North Korea.The New York Times · 3d ago
- Hana Bank issues South Korea’s first digital bond using Euroclear’s blockchainCoinDesk · 4d ago
- KRW/USD: South Korea Starts Trial Run of 24-Hour Won Settlement SystemBloomberg · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.