Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.4¢
- Implied chance
- 9.4%
- Return if right
- 963.8%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 1063.8 shares at 9.4¢ each.
YES wins: $1063.83 back, a profit of $963.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $85.60 of that profit. Without it you would make $1049.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
NO wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- How Leveraged ETFs Turned South Korea’s Stock Market Into a Casino and Why the U.S. Might Be NextYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- South Korea FA apologises over ‘sexual services’ allegationsAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Record-high heat soars through South KoreaAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Pentagon says no white phosphorus leak at South Korea air baseThe Hill · 4d ago
- South Korea space agency shares Moon images after SpaceX rocket debris crashBBC News · 4d ago
- No white phosphorus leak at US air base in South KoreaABC News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.