Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.9¢
- Implied chance
- 8.9%
- Return if right
- 1023.6%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 1123.6 shares at 8.9¢ each.
YES wins: $1123.60 back, a profit of $1023.60. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $1029.94.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 91.2¢
- Implied chance
- 91.2%
- Return if right
- 9.6%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 109.6 shares at 91.2¢ each.
NO wins: $109.65 back, a profit of $9.65. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.06 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.