LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?$27k liquidity$50k volumecloses 2.0y
SportsCulture2026 Winter GamesLos Angeles
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
86.7¢
Implied chance
86.7%
Return if right
15.3%
Spread cost
13%

If you put in $100

You get 115.3 shares at 86.7¢ each.

YES wins: $115.34 back, a profit of $15.34. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.38 of that profit. Without it you would make $17.72.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
16.8¢
Implied chance
16.8%
Return if right
495.2%
Spread cost
12%

If you put in $100

You get 595.2 shares at 16.8¢ each.

NO wins: $595.24 back, a profit of $495.24. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $69.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $564.45.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%85%Aug 10Aug 11

Latest: Aug 11, 11:20 AM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least 177 gold medals have been officially awarded at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic Games (LA28) by July 25, 2028, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “officially awarded” is defined as the gold-deciding final for the relevant event concluding and the gold medalist(s) being determined under official results. A qualifying awarding will still count towards the total regardless of whether the results are later reviewed or modified. Medal ceremonies aren’t required for an awarding to qualify. Each event will count once towards the total; a team gold or a shared gold will still count as one event. Both the specified threshold and deadline will remain fixed regardless of whether events are added to or cut from the program, or if LA28 is postponed, suspended, shortened, relocated, or rescheduled in any way. Heats, prelims, semifinals, and any phase that doesn’t decide gold will not count. Events postponed past the deadline or cancelled without deciding a gold medalist will not count. If LA28 officially awards at least one gold medal but is cancelled or curtailed, this market will resolve on the number of officially awarded gold medals up until that point. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there exists any ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the organizers of LA28, including the Los Angeles Organizing Committee (https://la28.org/) and the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

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