Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.9¢
- Implied chance
- 2.9%
- Return if right
- 3348.3%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 3448.3 shares at 2.9¢ each.
YES wins: $3448.28 back, a profit of $3348.28. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $255.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $3603.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.5¢
- Implied chance
- 97.5%
- Return if right
- 2.6%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 102.6 shares at 97.5¢ each.
NO wins: $102.56 back, a profit of $2.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.77.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Kristi Noem takes heat after bagging a massive elk & Keely Hodgkinson's sexy new speedsuit is a talkerFox News · 2d ago
- Tafoya blames Kristi Noem, Minnesota leadership for ICE rolloutThe Hill · 4d ago
- Former FEMA admin speaks out about Kristi Noem's downfall, TX floodingABC News · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.