Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.0¢
- Implied chance
- 6.0%
- Return if right
- 1566.7%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 1666.7 shares at 6.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1666.67 back, a profit of $1566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $151.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $1718.18.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.0¢
- Implied chance
- 95.0%
- Return if right
- 5.3%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.
NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Greece returns remains of Czar Samuel to BulgariaDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Greece returns priceless relics – and suggests UK should follow suit with Parthenon marblesThe Guardian · 2d ago
- Greece pushes EU to suspend asylum during mass migration surgesAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Greece gets first MiCA entrants as watchdog denies Binance-Lagarde claimCointelegraph · 6d ago
- Trump Offered to Sell Arms to China, U.S. Ambassador SaysThe New York Times · 7d ago
- 4 American tourists dead after building explosion in GreeceCBS News · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by Octob…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kimberly Guilfoyle ceases to be U.S. Ambassador to Greece for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kimberly Guilfoyle's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kimberly Guilfoyle and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.