Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.4¢
- Implied chance
- 4.4%
- Return if right
- 2172.7%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 2272.7 shares at 4.4¢ each.
YES wins: $2272.73 back, a profit of $2172.73. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1430.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $3603.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 64%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.77.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Kim Jong Un's sister issues warning as she denies South Korea land mine claimsSky News · 4d ago
- Trump calls Kim Jong Un a ‘friend’ and plays down N Korea’s nuclear arsenalAl Jazeera · 4d ago
- Trump should meet Kim Jong Un and make a deal to end the Korean WarThe Hill · 17d ago
- Why North Korea's Kim Jong Un doesn't need a US dealDeutsche Welle · 22d ago
- World’s nuclear watchdog endorses Trump’s push for Kim Jong Un meetingThe Washington Post · 1mo ago
- Trump plays nuclear poker with Kim Jong Un — but who holds the cards?Fox News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.