Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 06:00 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- War on Iran: Mojtaba Khamenei is in ‘perfect health’, Iran saysAl Jazeera · 6h ago
- Iran’s president says Khamenei is in ‘perfect health’Al Jazeera · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: https://x.com/khamenei_ir
Other outcomes in Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
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- Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?