Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 34.0¢
- Implied chance
- 34.0%
- Return if right
- 194.1%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.
YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $203.03.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 68.0¢
- Implied chance
- 68.0%
- Return if right
- 47.1%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.
NO wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $49.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
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- Two killed, refinery on fire in Russia’s Krasnodar after drone attackAl Jazeera · 2h ago
- UK to back Ukraine with missile blueprints amid Russia-Ukraine strikesAl Jazeera · 3h ago
- Russia mobilisation fears grow amid reports of intimidating tacticsAl Jazeera · 4h ago
- Russia Eyes Grain Duty Pause This Year on Ukraine StrikesBloomberg · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.