Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.8¢
- Implied chance
- 6.8%
- Return if right
- 1370.6%
- Spread cost
- 32%
If you put in $100
You get 1470.6 shares at 6.8¢ each.
YES wins: $1470.59 back, a profit of $1370.59. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $657.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $2027.66.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.4¢
- Implied chance
- 97.4%
- Return if right
- 2.7%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 102.7 shares at 97.4¢ each.
NO wins: $102.67 back, a profit of $2.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- In Georgia, Jon Ossoff Courts Broad Appeal With an Anti-Trump Script for Senate RaceThe New York Times · 27d ago
- Georgia senator Jon Ossoff slams racist posts allegedly from Republican opponent’s ex-stafferThe Guardian · 28d ago
- Jon Ossoff condemns Hasan Piker's rhetoric as streamer declares mainstream media 'crisis of credibility'Fox News · 28d ago
- Jon Ossoff, usually a head down senator, has found a formula to excite DemocratsNPR · 29d ago
- Jon Ossoff's controversial Trump jab sparks media feeding frenzy over White House aide Natalie HarpFox News · 1mo ago
- US senator Jon Ossoff condemns Trump as ‘draft-dodging, crook president’The Guardian · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.