John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 13.0¢
- Implied chance
- 13.0%
- Return if right
- 669.2%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 769.2 shares at 13.0¢ each.
YES wins: $769.23 back, a profit of $669.23. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $139.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $809.09.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $12.36.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- CIA Director John Ratcliffe met with Russian intelligence officials in visit to Moscow, Kremlin saysFox News · 1mo ago
- Moscow confirms visit of CIA Director John RatcliffeDeutsche Welle · 1mo ago
- CIA Director John Ratcliffe visits Russia, on what was a secret tripCBS News · 1mo ago
- CIA Director John Ratcliffe on secret trip in RussiaCBS News · 1mo ago
- CIA director John Ratcliffe reportedly on Moscow visitThe Guardian · 1mo ago
- CIA Director John Ratcliffe in Moscow for meetings, sources sayABC News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.