Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?$6k liquidity$147k volumecloses 4.7mo
Fed ChairFedTrumpJerome PowellEconomic PolicyFed Rates
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
22.0¢
Implied chance
22.0%
Return if right
354.5%
Spread cost
6%

If you put in $100

You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.

YES wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $376.19.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

Create an account to follow this trade

We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
80.0¢
Implied chance
80.0%
Return if right
25.0%
Spread cost
6%

If you put in $100

You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.

NO wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $26.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%21%Aug 10Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 04:40 PM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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