Set Handicap: Maines (-1.5) vs Yoruk (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Maines (-1.5) vs Yoruk (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 32%. A YES share costs 32.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 212.5% over 7d.

ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Ilay Yoruk vs Noemi Maines$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 32.0¢
Implied chance: 32.0%
Return if right: 212.5%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.

YES wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $222.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 70.0¢
Implied chance: 70.0%
Return if right: 42.9%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.

NO wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $44.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 09:01 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Maines and Ilay Yoruk in the ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Maines" if Noemi Maines wins by 2 or more sets than Ilay Yoruk, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Yoruk." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/