Set Handicap: Wei (-1.5) vs Lu (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Wei (-1.5) vs Lu (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 38%. A YES share costs 38.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 163.2% over 7d.

ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Sijia Wei vs Jia-Jing Lu$686 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 38.0¢
Implied chance: 38.0%
Return if right: 163.2%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.

YES wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $22.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $185.71.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 68.0¢
Implied chance: 68.0%
Return if right: 47.1%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

NO wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $53.85.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 25, 11:37 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Sijia Wei and Jia-Jing Lu in the ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Wei" if Sijia Wei wins by 2 or more sets than Jia-Jing Lu, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lu." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/