Set 1 Winner: Vrba vs Nakashima
BUY YES
- Cost
- 31.0¢
- Implied chance
- 31.0%
- Return if right
- 222.6%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 322.6 shares at 31.0¢ each.
YES wins: $322.58 back, a profit of $222.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $28.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $250.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 74.0¢
- Implied chance
- 74.0%
- Return if right
- 35.1%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 135.1 shares at 74.0¢ each.
NO wins: $135.14 back, a profit of $35.14. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $39.86.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Jakub Vrba vs Bryce Nakashima Nakashima Set 1 Winner28.5%
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Jakub Vrba vs Bryce Nakashima Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.563.0%
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) v…56.5%
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Jakub Vrba vs Bryce Nakashima Nakashima Match O/U 21.543.0%
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Jakub Vrba vs Bryce Nakashima Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.531.0%
- Set Handicap: Vrba (-1.5) vs Nak…14.5%
Latest: Aug 30, 05:24 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Nakashima pounds Fritz, Bejlek beats Keys in Cincinnati upsetsAl Jazeera · 8d ago
- Sabalenka cruises through as Medvedev falls to Nakashima at Cincinnati OpenAl Jazeera · 11d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Vrba vs Nakashima”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Vrba and Bryce Nakashima Nakashima in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Vrba” if Jakub Vrba wins the first set. It will resolve to “Nakashima” if Bryce Nakashima Nakashima wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.
Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Other outcomes in ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Jakub Vrba vs Bryce Nakashima Nakashima
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Jakub Vrba vs Bryce Nakashima Nakashima
- Vrba vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 21.5
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Vrba (+1.5)
- Jakub Vrba vs. Bryce Nakashima Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- Set Handicap: Vrba (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)
- Vrba vs. Nakashima: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- Vrba vs. Nakashima: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- Set 2 Winner: Vrba vs Nakashima
- Vrba vs. Nakashima: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
- Vrba vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5
- Vrba vs. Nakashima: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
- Vrba vs. Nakashima: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
- Vrba vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 23.5
- Vrba vs. Nakashima: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Completed Match: Jakub Vrba vs Bryce Nakashima Nakashima