ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Alisa Vasileva vs Maiko Uchijima

Q: ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Alisa Vasileva vs Maiko Uchijima

Prediction markets currently price this at 41%. A YES share costs 41.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 143.9% over 7d.

ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Alisa Vasileva vs Maiko Uchijima$19k liquidity$31k volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 41.0¢
Implied chance: 41.0%
Return if right: 143.9%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 243.9 shares at 41.0¢ each.

YES wins: $243.90 back, a profit of $143.90. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $12.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $156.41.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 63.0¢
Implied chance: 63.0%
Return if right: 58.7%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.

NO wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $63.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 18, 07:20 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Vasileva and Maiko Uchijima in the ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Vasileva' if Alisa Vasileva advances against Maiko Uchijima. This market will resolve to 'Maiko Uchijima' if Maiko Uchijima advances against Alisa Vasileva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/