Set Handicap: Hazawa (-1.5) vs Tsirikidze (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Hazawa (-1.5) vs Tsirikidze (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 74%. A YES share costs 74.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 35.1% over 7d.

ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Venedikt Tsirikidze vs Shinji Hazawa$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 74.0¢
Implied chance: 74.0%
Return if right: 35.1%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 135.1 shares at 74.0¢ each.

YES wins: $135.14 back, a profit of $35.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $37.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 29.0¢
Implied chance: 29.0%
Return if right: 244.8%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 344.8 shares at 29.0¢ each.

NO wins: $344.83 back, a profit of $244.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $18.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $263.64.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 11:24 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Shinji Hazawa and Venedikt Tsirikidze in the ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Hazawa" if Shinji Hazawa wins by 2 or more sets than Venedikt Tsirikidze, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tsirikidze." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/