M25 Urayasu: Ryota Tanuma vs Yuta Kawahashi

Q: M25 Urayasu: Ryota Tanuma vs Yuta Kawahashi

Prediction markets currently price this at 56%. A YES share costs 56.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 78.6% over 7d.

M25 Urayasu: Ryota Tanuma vs Yuta Kawahashi$5k liquidity$660 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 56.0¢
Implied chance: 56.0%
Return if right: 78.6%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 178.6 shares at 56.0¢ each.

YES wins: $178.57 back, a profit of $78.57. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $80.18.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 45.0¢
Implied chance: 45.0%
Return if right: 122.2%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 222.2 shares at 45.0¢ each.

NO wins: $222.22 back, a profit of $122.22. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $124.72.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Sep 1, 12:09 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “M25 Urayasu: Ryota Tanuma vs Yuta Kawahashi”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryota Tanuma and Yuta Kawahashi in the M25 Urayasu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryota Tanuma' if Ryota Tanuma advances against Yuta Kawahashi. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Kawahashi' if Yuta Kawahashi advances against Ryota Tanuma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/