ITF Turku: Kacper Szymkowiak vs Melios Efstathiou

Q: ITF Turku: Kacper Szymkowiak vs Melios Efstathiou

Prediction markets currently price this at 74%. A YES share costs 74.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 35.1% over 7d.

ITF Turku: Kacper Szymkowiak vs Melios Efstathiou$144 liquidity$251 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 74.0¢
Implied chance: 74.0%
Return if right: 35.1%
Spread cost: 48%

If you put in $100

You get 135.1 shares at 74.0¢ each.

YES wins: $135.14 back, a profit of $35.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $32.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $68.07.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 55.0¢
Implied chance: 55.0%
Return if right: 81.8%
Spread cost: 44%

If you put in $100

You get 181.8 shares at 55.0¢ each.

NO wins: $181.82 back, a profit of $81.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $65.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $146.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 10:36 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF Turku: Kacper Szymkowiak vs Melios Efstathiou”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Kacper Szymkowiak and Melios Efstathiou in the ITF Men Turku, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kacper Szymkowiak' if Kacper Szymkowiak advances against Melios Efstathiou. This market will resolve to 'Melios Efstathiou' if Melios Efstathiou advances against Kacper Szymkowiak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/