Set Handicap: Zhiyenbayeva (-1.5) vs Struplova (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Zhiyenbayeva (-1.5) vs Struplova (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 42%. A YES share costs 42.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 138.1% over 7d.

ITF W35 Vigo Women: Julie Struplova vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 42.0¢
Implied chance: 42.0%
Return if right: 138.1%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 238.1 shares at 42.0¢ each.

YES wins: $238.10 back, a profit of $138.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $146.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 61.0¢
Implied chance: 61.0%
Return if right: 63.9%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 163.9 shares at 61.0¢ each.

NO wins: $163.93 back, a profit of $63.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $68.07.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 06:09 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Sonja Zhiyenbayeva and Julie Struplova in the ITF W35 Vigo Women, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Zhiyenbayeva" if Sonja Zhiyenbayeva wins by 2 or more sets than Julie Struplova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Struplova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/