ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Eli Stephenson vs Alexander Petrov

Q: ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Eli Stephenson vs Alexander Petrov

Prediction markets currently price this at 37%. A YES share costs 37.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 170.3% over 7d.

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Eli Stephenson vs Alexander Petrov$5k liquidity$20 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 37.0¢
Implied chance: 37.0%
Return if right: 170.3%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.

YES wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $19.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $189.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 68.0¢
Implied chance: 68.0%
Return if right: 47.1%
Spread cost: 11%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

NO wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $52.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 26, 02:39 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Eli Stephenson and Alexander Petrov in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eli Stephenson' if Eli Stephenson advances against Alexander Petrov. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Petrov' if Alexander Petrov advances against Eli Stephenson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/