Steiner vs. Steur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Q: Steiner vs. Steur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 70%. A YES share costs 70.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 42.9% over 7d.

ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Valentina Steiner vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur$619 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 70.0¢
Implied chance: 70.0%
Return if right: 42.9%
Spread cost: 37%

If you put in $100

You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.

YES wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $25.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $68.07.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 51.0¢
Implied chance: 51.0%
Return if right: 96.1%
Spread cost: 35%

If you put in $100

You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.

NO wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $50.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $146.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 22, 04:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Postmaster General Steiner must resignThe Hill · 10d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Steiner vs. Steur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Steiner and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur in the ITF W35 Erwitte Women, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/